Introduction
In my previous post, I argued that a global UFO/UAP disclosure is necessary because the ontological acknowledgement of the phenomenon's reality belongs to all of humanity, and because our institutions have both the duty and, I believe, the capacity to deliver it wisely.
What I deliberately left out of that post were the harder questions. The ones I find genuinely difficult to think through without arriving at conclusions that are uncomfortable and, unfortunately, realistic.
This post is an attempt to go into that uncomfortable territory honestly. It is a more pessimistic, or realistic, text than my previous one. Pessimistic in the sense of looking clearly at the barriers to global UFO disclosure without softening them into something more manageable than they are.
What I explore and claim in this post is nothing original. Many UFO researchers, and armchair commentators like myself, have considered the barriers to an official UFO/UAP disclosure throughout UFO history. For example, Richard Dolan recently commented on the UAP briefing at Capitol Hill on the 9th June, featuring David Grusch, members of Congress, and several prominent figures involved in the disclosure effort.
What Mr Dolan says in his YouTube-video (duration: 12:34 min.) about the key issues for disclosure being "legislative power" (e.g., whistleblower protection) and "the system defending itself" apply to what I write below.
However, I do not believe the encouraging and courageous disclosure effort in the USA is sufficient for a global ontological acknowledgement of the reality of the UFO/UAP issue. One crucial thing that was said at the UAP briefing on Capitol Hill came from Representative Eric Burlison. Mr Burlison said something to the effect that the disclosure effort is a "world-wide call to action" (Rep. Burlison appears between 4:00 min. and 10:20 min., and to the end of the video by News Nation).
I agree with Representative Burlison that collaboration between nations is necessary to trigger a global UFO disclosure process. The problems of "legislative power" and "the system defending itself" can be generalised to the entire world order, or the transnational and transactional power structure, if you will.
This post addresses the real nature and scope of barriers to global UFO/UAP disclosure. The USA is courageously and persistently leading the disclosure effort. But because of the complex and entrenched power relations and dynamics on a global level, I worry the current effort by the USA will not drive a global disclosure process.
In the text below, I begin with what I believe is the primary barrier to global UFO/UAP disclosure. After that, I will present scenarios of what information (or revelations) disclosure likely entails, and how a specific scenario is connected to the theme "the system defending itself". Then follows a section on why secrecy becomes harder to break over time (the "compounding betrayal-dynamic") and a section on the problem of institutional "capture" (or co-opting) of global UFO/UAP disclosure. This post ends with a summary of the most relevant points and clarifications on what I am saying or not saying about the current disclosure situation.
The primary barrier is political-economic
Most discussions about why UFO/UAP disclosure has not happened focus on epistemological barriers: the evidence is not yet compelling enough, the public is not ready, the scientific establishment needs more time, the phenomenon is too complex to communicate clearly. These are real considerations. But I am increasingly convinced that they are secondary barriers to global UFO disclosure.
The primary barrier is political-economic: the power to set the agenda, decide, and fund those agendas and decisions. And I am referring to a global (not only in the USA) political-economic structure.
Consider what an institutionally honest UFO/UAP disclosure would mean for the major power structures of our world, materially and structurally (i.e., relations of power and control over mutual interests).
